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Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections
A Risk Assessment Approach Coupling Epidemiologic and Geostatistical Measures
Langbeschreibung
One of the most troubling and dangerous effects of climate warming is the potential for new outbreaks of vector-borne diseases - in humans as well as livestock - that had previously been eradicated, or at least effectively suppressed. One such threat is malaria. Although it is often believed to be restricted to the tropics and developing countries, climate change could bring malaria back to Europe, especially into countries where it was present until the middle of the last century, such as Germany, where Tertian malaria or vivax malaria, a rather severe form of malaria, was prevalent in north-western parts of the country until the 1950s, when it was eradicated. The vector itself, the mosquito (Anopheles atroparvus), is still present, and infected people from malarial regions could introduce a new onset of malaria.
Inhaltsverzeichnis
1. Background and Goals.- 2. Case Study 1: Modelling Potential Transmission Gates of Malaria Tertiana in Lower Saxony.- 3. Case Study 2: Modelling Potential Transmission Gates of Malaria Tertiana in Germany.- 4. Conclusions and Outlook.
ISBN-13:
9783319038230
Veröffentl:
2013
Seiten:
58
Autor:
Winfried Schröder
Serie:
SpringerBriefs in Environmental Science
eBook Typ:
PDF
eBook Format:
EPUB
Kopierschutz:
1 - PDF Watermark
Sprache:
Englisch
53,49 €*
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