Super Deciders

PRAISE FOR SUPER DECIDERS

Foreword by Mario Greco xiiiIntroduction xixPrologue xxviiPart One: Understanding Decisions Under UncertaintyChapter 1: Making Great Predictions 3Chapter 2: Case 1: Making People Decisions 19Chapter 3: Developing Options to Approximate the Right Decision 29Part Two: Making Decisions Under UncertaintyChapter 4: Case 2: Making Strategic Decisions 57Chapter 5: Identifying Assumptions and Testing Them 69Chapter 6: Case 3: Making Decisions About Company Growth 95Chapter 7: Developing Better Options 107Part Three: Managing the Tensions Created by Decisions Under UncertaintyChapter 8: Case 4: Implementing Decisions 129Chapter 9: Managing Change 135Part Four: Becoming Super DecidersChapter 10: Case 5: Making Work- Life Balance Decisions 157Chapter 11: Becoming Better at Making Decisions 165Chapter 12: Case 6: Making "Tough" Decisions 185Chapter 13: Preparing to Be Wrong 195Part Five: ConclusionsChapter 14: Epilogue 211Chapter 15: Conclusions 215Notes 225Appendixes 227References 249About the Authors 267Index 271